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Fundamental Analysis

August NFP Suggests Inflation Pressure from the Labor Market Started to Decrease

The bond market selloff has been offering significant support to the greenback this week. The dollar index (DXY) rose to 110 on Thursday, however it failed to secure fresh highs and turned into a...

FOMO Friday: FTSE Falls 5%

FTSE Falls DownAnother week comes to a close and in London the end of the summer has been marked punctually by pouring rain. However, action in markets this week has been far from soggy and with the...

Risk Aversion Grows as Chances of the Fed’s Dovish Pivot Wane

The notion of an ultra-aggressive Fed hiking rates into recession commands the spotlight in the bonds and equity markets, suggesting that risk aversion will likely stay in place for some time....

The Crude Chronicles - Episode 151

Oil Traders Increase Longs AgainThe latest CFTC COT institutional positioning report shows that oil traders increased their net-long positions again last week from 214k to 246k. This marks the second...

Narrowing Real Yield Spread Helps Euro but Gas Supplies Remain the Biggest Risk

The recent narrowing of the spread between real interest rates in the EU and the US, although belatedly, helped the EURUSD to recover; the pair tested levels above parity, while the dollar index...

GBP Breaks Down Further As Dark Clouds Gather

GBP Grinding LowerThe British Pound is back under heavy selling pressure again this week, extending its recent run of losses as a stronger US Dollar continues to weigh on GBP. The currency has been...

There are few Reasons to Short Greenback Right now and here is why

The Eurozone economic sentiment indicator decreased modestly from 98.9 to 97.6 points in August. Both industry and manufacturing saw a deterioration in economic activity. At the same time,...

Hawkish ECB Hints in Jackson Hole Help the EURUSD to Regain Ground Above Parity

The Eurozone money marketson Monday point to a sharp strengthening of expectations that the ECB willraise rates by 75 basis points in September, as the ECB officials signaled overthe weekend that they...

FOMO Fridays: EURAUD Under Water

EURAUD Stands Out During Quiet WeekIt’s been a much quieter week for financial markets. Though do bear in mind I’m writing this ahead of today’s Jackson Hole event. Given the focus on Fed chairman...